St Pauli vs Bayern Munich

Tip WON St Pauli 0-5 Bayern Munich
🏆 Bundesliga 📅 Saturday, 11th April 2026
S
St Pauli
D L L D W
0-5
VS
B
Bayern Munich
W W W W D
Expert Prediction
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.51
decimal
Confidence
82%
Strong Pick
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Main pick
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
@1.51
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90% H2H Over 2.578%
⚔ Head to Head
1
St Pauli
0
Draws
8
Bayern Munich
Supports Over 2.5 in 78% of H2H meetings (avg 3.7).
📊 Team Statistics
St Pauli Bayern Munich
0.8 Goals / Game 3.3
1.6 Conceded / Game 1.1
20% Clean Sheets 20%
3-2-5 W-D-L 9-1-0
Win Rate Comparison
30% 90%
📈 Form Ratings
St Pauli
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.7
Bayern Munich
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 50%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
29.11.25
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich
3
St. Pauli
1
29.03.25
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich
3
St. Pauli
2
09.11.24
Bundesliga: St. Pauli
0
Bayern Munich
1
07.05.11
Bundesliga: St. Pauli
1
Bayern Munich
8
11.12.10
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich
3
St. Pauli
0
09.09.06
DFB-Pokal: St. Pauli
1
Bayern Munich (AET)
2
12.04.06
DFB-Pokal: St. Pauli
0
Bayern Munich
3
06.02.02
Bundesliga: St. Pauli
2
Bayern Munich
1
18.08.01
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich
2
St. Pauli
0
Recent Results
St Pauli
05.04.26
Bundesliga: Union Berlin
1
St. Pauli
1
D
22.03.26
Bundesliga: St. Pauli
1
SC Freiburg
2
L
13.03.26
Bundesliga: B. M’gladbach
2
St. Pauli
0
L
08.03.26
Bundesliga: St. Pauli
0
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
D
28.02.26
Bundesliga: TSG Hoffenheim
0
St. Pauli
1
W
22.02.26
Bundesliga: St. Pauli
2
Werder Bremen
1
W
14.02.26
Bundesliga: Bayer Leverkusen
4
St. Pauli
0
L
07.02.26
Bundesliga: St. Pauli
2
VfB Stuttgart
1
W
03.02.26
DFB-Pokal (QF): Bayer Leverkusen
3
St. Pauli
0
L
31.01.26
Bundesliga: FC Augsburg
2
St. Pauli
1
L
Bayern Munich
07.04.26
Champions League (QF): Real Madrid
1
Bayern Munich
2
W
04.04.26
Bundesliga: SC Freiburg
2
Bayern Munich
3
W
21.03.26
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich
4
Union Berlin
0
W
18.03.26
Champions League (R16): Bayern Munich
4
Atalanta
1
W
14.03.26
Bundesliga: Bayer Leverkusen
1
Bayern Munich
1
D
10.03.26
Champions League (R16): Atalanta
1
Bayern Munich
6
W
06.03.26
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich
4
B. M’gladbach
1
W
28.02.26
Bundesliga: Borussia Dortmund
2
Bayern Munich
3
W
21.02.26
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
W
14.02.26
Bundesliga: Werder Bremen
0
Bayern Munich
3
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Saturday, 11th April 2026, St Pauli host Bayern Munich in Bundesliga. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

St Pauli come into this going through a difficult run, with 3W 2D 5L from 10 matches.

Bayern Munich are travelling well — 9W 1D 0L in 10 games.

H2H: St Pauli won 1 of 9 meetings vs Bayern Munich's 8, 0 draws. BTTS in 56%.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.51 represents the strongest value angle here.


Uncovering genuine value in today’s betting landscape means heavily relying on the metrics, and this impending Bundesliga fixture offers exactly that for sharp bettors. Stripping away team bias and looking purely at the data is paramount. The hosts’ current trajectory is our first focal point.

Their form guide establishes the baseline odds, but savvy analysts look deeper. By dissecting their recent matches, a stark picture of their offensive capabilities and defensive frailties emerges. Meanwhile, the visiting contingent carries its own statistical weight.

We must contrast their broader form guide with the immediate urgency seen in their most recent games to see if the market has mispriced them. Past encounters cannot be ignored either. A dive into the previous meetings frequently unearths psychological advantages or tactical flaws overlooked by standard models.

Combining these historical patterns with fresh form data guides us to a precise likelihood. Integrating all these factors reveals the smartest play available. Our primary tip which is Over 2.5 represents the highest value, especially when factoring in the current @1.51 odds.

Once the fixture kicks off, our pre-match work is done. Ultimately, the final score after the blast of the referee’s whistle will act as the judge of our statistical read. Do well to leverage other daily prediction options we make available on this website and enhance your chances of coming out tops against the bookmakers.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for St Pauli vs Bayern Munich?
Our pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at odds of ~1.51. Our prediction engine gives this a 82% confidence rating.
How has St Pauli performed in their recent matches?
St Pauli heads into this fixture with a record of 3W 2D 5L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich has recorded 9W 1D 0L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between St Pauli and Bayern Munich?
In their last 9 meetings, St Pauli has won 1 times, Bayern Munich has won 8 times, and there have been 0 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.4 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 56% of their previous H2H encounters.