Mbeya City vs Simba

🏆 Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara 📅 Wednesday, 17th June 2026
M
Mbeya City
W L D L L
VS
S
Simba
W W W W W
Expert Prediction
Our Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Simba to win in this fixture.
Predicted Score
0-2
15.4% probability
Odds
1.26
13/50
-385
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
Win Probability Split
H 20% D 30% A 50%
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⚡ Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — Simba to win @1.26
Simba Clean Sheet Away CS 55%

Supporting tips are derived from recent form data. All bets carry risk.

⚔ Head to Head
Mbeya City1W
Draw1
Simba8W
Supports Simba won 8 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Mbeya City wins2/10
Simba wins10/11
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals3
Supports Simba: 10W 1D 0L from 11 games.
2-3-5
Mbeya City form
10-1-0
Simba form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
📊 Team Form Ratings
Mbeya City
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
3.3
Simba
Overall
9.4
Scoring
8.5
Defence
8.2
🔬 Key Analytics
Mbeya City
0.6
Goals
Scored/Game
2
Goals
Conceded/Game
30%
Clean
Sheets
Simba
2.5
Goals
Scored/Game
0.5
Goals
Conceded/Game
55%
Clean
Sheets
🎯 Correct Score Predictions

Poisson model based on both teams' goals-per-game averages. Probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.

⭐ Top Pick
0-2
15.4% probability
Alternative
0-1
13.7% probability
Alternative
0-3
11.5% probability
🔀 Combination Markets

Estimated probabilities from form data. Highlighted = highest probability.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 40%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 43%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
04.12.25LKB
Simba
3
Mbeya City
0
13.04.25FAC
Simba
3
Mbeya City
1
18.01.23LKB
Simba
3
Mbeya City
2
23.11.22LKB
Mbeya City
1
Simba
1
16.06.22LKB
Simba
3
Mbeya City
0
17.01.22LKB
Mbeya City
1
Simba
0
22.06.21LKB
Simba
4
Mbeya City
1
13.12.20LKB
Mbeya City
0
Simba
1
24.06.20LKB
Mbeya City
0
Simba
2
03.11.19LKB
Simba
4
Mbeya City
0
Recent Results
Mbeya City
13.06.26LKB
Mbeya City
1
Mtibwa Sugar
0
W
26.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars
4
Mbeya City
1
L
21.05.26LKB
Namungo
1
Mbeya City
1
D
13.05.26LKB
Mbeya City
0
Coastal Union
2
L
09.05.26LKB
JKT Tanzania
1
Mbeya City
0
L
04.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons
1
Mbeya City
2
W
30.04.26LKB
Mbeya City
0
Mashujaa
0
D
16.04.26LKB
Young Africans
6
Mbeya City
0
L
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars
5
Mbeya City
1
L
09.04.26LKB
Mbeya City
0
Azam
0
D
Simba
14.06.26LKB
Simba
2
Pamba
1
W
24.05.26LKB
Simba
1
Dodoma Jiji
0
W
21.05.26LKB
Coastal Union
1
Simba
2
W
17.05.26FAC
Simba
4
TRA United
0
W
14.05.26LKB
Mashujaa
0
Simba
3
W
10.05.26LKB
Simba
4
Tanzania Prisons
0
W
06.05.26LKB
Simba
1
JKT Tanzania
0
W
03.05.26LKB
Simba
2
Young Africans
2
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo
1
Simba
3
W
15.04.26LKB
Fountain Gate
0
Simba
3
W
12.04.26FAC
Simba
3
Dodoma Jiji
1
W
🧮 Stake Calculator
Return
12.60
Net profit: 2.60
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📝 Tactical Analysis

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Mbeya City host Simba in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. Our analysis points to Simba to win as the standout bet.

Mbeya City come into this going through a difficult run, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game.

Simba are travelling well — 10W 1D 0L in 11 games, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.5 per match.

Historically, Mbeya City have won 1 of the last 10 meetings against Simba, who have taken 8 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, simba to win at 1.26 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Always check line-ups before placing any bet.


Uncovering genuine value in today’s betting landscape means heavily relying on the metrics, and this impending Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara fixture offers exactly that for sharp bettors. Stripping away team bias and looking purely at the data is paramount. The hosts’ current trajectory is our first focal point.

Their form guide establishes the baseline odds, but savvy analysts look deeper. By dissecting their recent matches, a stark picture of their offensive capabilities and defensive frailties emerges. Meanwhile, the visiting contingent carries its own statistical weight.

We must contrast their broader form guide with the immediate urgency seen in their most recent games to see if the market has mispriced them. Past encounters cannot be ignored either. A dive into the previous meetings frequently unearths psychological advantages or tactical flaws overlooked by standard models.

Combining these historical patterns with fresh form data guides us to a precise likelihood. Integrating all these factors reveals the smartest play available. Our primary tip which is 2 represents the highest value, especially when factoring in the current @1.26 odds.

Once the fixture kicks off, our pre-match work is done. Ultimately, the final score after the blast of the referee’s whistle will act as the judge of our statistical read. Do well to leverage other daily prediction options we make available on this website and enhance your chances of coming out tops against the bookmakers.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Mbeya City vs Simba?
Our top pick is 2 — Simba to win at around 1.26. Confidence: 68%.
What is Mbeya City's recent form?
Mbeya City have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Simba been performing?
Simba: 10W 1D 0L from 11 games — in very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Mbeya City 1 wins vs Simba's 8, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.