Italy vs Northern Ireland

Tip WON Italy 2-0 Northern Ireland
🏆 Euro World Cup Qualifier 📅 Thursday, 26th March 2026
I
Italy
L W W W W
2-0
VS
N
Northern Ireland
W L L W L
Expert Prediction
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.20
decimal
Confidence
80%
Strong Pick
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
@1.20
Over 1.5 Goals80%
⚔ Head to Head
5
Italy
2
Draws
1
Northern Ireland
Supports Over 1.5 in 63% of H2H meetings (avg 1.8).
📊 Team Statistics
Italy Northern Ireland
2.5 Goals / Game 1.1
1.7 Conceded / Game 1.4
40% Clean Sheets 30%
6-1-3 W-D-L 4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
60% 40%
📈 Form Ratings
Italy
Overall
6.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
4.3
Northern Ireland
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
15.11.21
WCQ: Northern Ireland
0
Italy
0
25.03.21
WCQ: Italy
2
Northern Ireland
0
11.10.11
EUR: Italy
3
Northern Ireland
0
08.10.10
EUR: Northern Ireland
0
Italy
0
06.06.09
FI: Italy
3
Northern Ireland
0
03.06.03
FI: Italy
2
Northern Ireland
0
15.01.58
WCQ: Northern Ireland
2
Italy
1
25.04.57
WCQ: Italy
1
Northern Ireland
0
Recent Results
Italy
16.11.25
WCQ: Italy
1
Norway
4
L
13.11.25
WCQ: Moldova
0
Italy
2
W
14.10.25
WCQ: Italy
3
Israel
0
W
11.10.25
WCQ: Estonia
1
Italy
3
W
08.09.25
WCQ: Israel
4
Italy
5
W
05.09.25
WCQ: Italy
5
Estonia
0
W
09.06.25
WCQ: Italy
2
Moldova
0
W
06.06.25
WCQ: Norway
3
Italy
0
L
23.03.25
UNL: Germany
3
Italy
3
D
20.03.25
UNL: Italy
1
Germany
2
L
Northern Ireland
17.11.25
WCQ: Northern Ireland
1
Luxembourg
0
W
14.11.25
WCQ: Slovakia
1
Northern Ireland
0
L
13.10.25
WCQ: Northern Ireland
0
Germany
1
L
10.10.25
WCQ: Northern Ireland
2
Slovakia
0
W
07.09.25
WCQ: Germany
3
Northern Ireland
1
L
04.09.25
WCQ: Luxembourg
1
Northern Ireland
3
W
10.06.25
FI: Northern Ireland
1
Iceland
0
W
07.06.25
FI: Denmark
2
Northern Ireland
1
L
25.03.25
FI: Sweden
5
Northern Ireland
1
L
21.03.25
FI: Northern Ireland
1
Switzerland
1
D
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Italy host Northern Ireland in Euro World Cup Qualifier. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.

Italy come into this showing mixed form, with 6W 1D 3L from 10 matches.

Northern Ireland are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games.

H2H: Italy won 5 of 8 meetings vs Northern Ireland's 1, 2 draws. BTTS in 13%.

With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.20 represents the strongest value angle here.


Uncovering genuine value in today’s betting landscape means heavily relying on the metrics, and this impending Euro World Cup Qualifier fixture offers exactly that for sharp bettors. Stripping away team bias and looking purely at the data is paramount. The hosts’ current trajectory is our first focal point.

Their form guide establishes the baseline odds, but savvy analysts look deeper. By dissecting their recent matches, a stark picture of their offensive capabilities and defensive frailties emerges. Meanwhile, the visiting contingent carries its own statistical weight.

We must contrast their broader form guide with the immediate urgency seen in their most recent games to see if the market has mispriced them. Past encounters cannot be ignored either. A dive into the previous meetings frequently unearths psychological advantages or tactical flaws overlooked by standard models.

Combining these historical patterns with fresh form data guides us to a precise likelihood. Integrating all these factors reveals the smartest play available. Our primary tip which is Over 1.5 represents the highest value, especially when factoring in the current @1.20 odds.

Once the fixture kicks off, our pre-match work is done. Ultimately, the final score after the blast of the referee’s whistle will act as the judge of our statistical read. Do well to leverage other daily prediction options we make available on this website and enhance your chances of coming out tops against the bookmakers.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Italy vs Northern Ireland?
Our pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at odds of ~1.20. Our prediction engine gives this a 80% confidence rating.
How has Italy performed in their recent matches?
Italy heads into this fixture with a record of 6W 1D 3L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Northern Ireland?
Northern Ireland has recorded 4W 1D 5L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Italy and Northern Ireland?
In their last 8 meetings, Italy has won 5 times, Northern Ireland has won 1 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.4 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 13% of their previous H2H encounters.