AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda

Tip LOST AZ Alkmaar 3-3 NAC Breda
🏆 Eredivisie 📅 Sunday, 17th May 2026
A
AZ Alkmaar
D D D W D
3-3
VS
N
NAC Breda
W L L D D
Expert Prediction
1
Backing AZ Alkmaar to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
decimal
Confidence
55%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1 — AZ Alkmaar to win
@1.38
Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — No65% H2H Over 2.570%
⚔ Head to Head
8
AZ Alkmaar
1
Draws
1
NAC Breda
Supports AZ Alkmaar won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
AZ Alkmaar NAC Breda
1.9 Goals / Game 0.8
1.2 Conceded / Game 1.9
40% Clean Sheets 30%
4-4-2 W-D-L 2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
40% 20%
📈 Form Ratings
AZ Alkmaar
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.0
NAC Breda
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 24%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
31.08.25ERE
NAC Breda
0
AZ Alkmaar
1
24.04.25ERE
AZ Alkmaar
1
NAC Breda
1
15.12.24ERE
NAC Breda
1
AZ Alkmaar
2
12.02.20KNV
AZ Alkmaar
1
NAC Breda
3
08.02.19ERE
NAC Breda
0
AZ Alkmaar
3
12.08.18ERE
AZ Alkmaar
5
NAC Breda
0
17.02.18ERE
NAC Breda
1
AZ Alkmaar
3
10.09.17ERE
AZ Alkmaar
2
NAC Breda
1
10.05.15ERE
AZ Alkmaar
3
NAC Breda
2
08.11.14ERE
NAC Breda
0
AZ Alkmaar
1
Recent Results
AZ Alkmaar
10.05.26ERE
Feyenoord
1
AZ Alkmaar
1
D
03.05.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar
2
Twente
2
D
23.04.26ERE
G.A. Eagles
0
AZ Alkmaar
0
D
19.04.26KNV
AZ Alkmaar
5
Nijmegen
1
W
16.04.26UECL
AZ Alkmaar
2
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
D
12.04.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar
3
Heerenveen
0
W
09.04.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
AZ Alkmaar
0
L
04.04.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar
2
Sittard
0
W
22.03.26ERE
Groningen
3
AZ Alkmaar
0
L
19.03.26UECL
Sparta Prague
0
AZ Alkmaar
4
W
NAC Breda
11.05.26ERE
NAC Breda
2
Heerenveen
0
W
02.05.26ERE
Utrecht
2
NAC Breda
0
L
25.04.26ERE
NAC Breda
0
Ajax
2
L
12.04.26ERE
Sittard
1
NAC Breda
1
D
05.04.26ERE
NAC Breda
0
Sparta Rotterdam
0
D
21.03.26ERE
Zwolle
2
NAC Breda
1
L
15.03.26ERE
G.A. Eagles
6
NAC Breda
0
L
08.03.26ERE
NAC Breda
3
Feyenoord
3
D
27.02.26ERE
Telstar
3
NAC Breda
0
L
21.02.26ERE
NAC Breda
1
FC Volendam
0
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Sunday, 17th May 2026, AZ Alkmaar host NAC Breda in Eredivisie. Our analysis points to AZ Alkmaar to win as the standout bet.

AZ Alkmaar come into this showing mixed form, with 4W 4D 2L from 10 matches.

NAC Breda are struggling away — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games.

H2H: AZ Alkmaar won 8 of 10 meetings vs NAC Breda's 1, 1 draws. BTTS in 60%.

With all factors considered, az alkmaar to win at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle here.


Uncovering genuine value in today’s betting landscape means heavily relying on the metrics, and this impending Eredivisie fixture offers exactly that for sharp bettors. Stripping away team bias and looking purely at the data is paramount. The hosts’ current trajectory is our first focal point.

Their form guide establishes the baseline odds, but savvy analysts look deeper. By dissecting their recent matches, a stark picture of their offensive capabilities and defensive frailties emerges. Meanwhile, the visiting contingent carries its own statistical weight.

We must contrast their broader form guide with the immediate urgency seen in their most recent games to see if the market has mispriced them. Past encounters cannot be ignored either. A dive into the previous meetings frequently unearths psychological advantages or tactical flaws overlooked by standard models.

Combining these historical patterns with fresh form data guides us to a precise likelihood. Integrating all these factors reveals the smartest play available. Our primary tip which is 1 represents the highest value, especially when factoring in the current @1.38 odds.

Once the fixture kicks off, our pre-match work is done. Ultimately, the final score after the blast of the referee’s whistle will act as the judge of our statistical read. Do well to leverage other daily prediction options we make available on this website and enhance your chances of coming out tops against the bookmakers.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?
Our pick is 1 — AZ Alkmaar to win at odds of ~1.38. Our prediction engine gives this a 55% confidence rating.
How has AZ Alkmaar performed in their recent matches?
AZ Alkmaar heads into this fixture with a record of 4W 4D 2L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of NAC Breda?
NAC Breda has recorded 2W 3D 5L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda?
In their last 10 meetings, AZ Alkmaar has won 8 times, NAC Breda has won 1 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.9 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 60% of their previous H2H encounters.