Arsenal vs Burnley

Tip WON Arsenal 1-0 Burnley
🏆 Premier League 📅 Monday, 18th May 2026
A
Arsenal
W W W D W
1-0
VS
B
Burnley
D L L L L
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Arsenal to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.11
decimal
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
H 60%D 20%A 20%
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Main pick
1 — Arsenal to win
@1.11
Arsenal Clean Sheet60%
⚔ Head to Head
6
Arsenal
3
Draws
1
Burnley
Supports Arsenal won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Arsenal Burnley
1.1 Goals / Game 0.9
0.7 Conceded / Game 2.2
60% Clean Sheets 10%
5-2-3 W-D-L 0-3-7
Win Rate Comparison
50% 0%
📈 Form Ratings
Arsenal
Overall
5.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
7.7
Burnley
Overall
0.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
01.11.25PL
Burnley
0
Arsenal
2
17.02.24PL
Burnley
0
Arsenal
5
11.11.23PL
Arsenal
3
Burnley
1
23.01.22PL
Arsenal
0
Burnley
0
18.09.21PL
Burnley
0
Arsenal
1
06.03.21PL
Burnley
1
Arsenal
1
13.12.20PL
Arsenal
0
Burnley
1
02.02.20PL
Burnley
0
Arsenal
0
17.08.19PL
Arsenal
2
Burnley
1
12.05.19PL
Burnley
1
Arsenal
3
Recent Results
Arsenal
10.05.26PL
West Ham
0
Arsenal
1
W
05.05.26CL
Arsenal
1
Atl. Madrid
0
W
02.05.26PL
Arsenal
3
Fulham
0
W
29.04.26CL
Atl. Madrid
1
Arsenal
1
D
25.04.26PL
Arsenal
1
Newcastle
0
W
19.04.26PL
Manchester City
2
Arsenal
1
L
15.04.26CL
Arsenal
0
Sporting CP
0
D
11.04.26PL
Arsenal
1
Bournemouth
2
L
07.04.26CL
Sporting CP
0
Arsenal
1
W
04.04.26FAC
Southampton
2
Arsenal
1
L
Burnley
10.05.26PL
Burnley
2
Aston Villa
2
D
01.05.26PL
Leeds
3
Burnley
1
L
22.04.26PL
Burnley
0
Manchester City
1
L
19.04.26PL
Nottingham
4
Burnley
1
L
11.04.26PL
Burnley
0
Brighton
2
L
21.03.26PL
Fulham
3
Burnley
1
L
14.03.26PL
Burnley
0
Bournemouth
0
D
03.03.26PL
Everton
2
Burnley
0
L
28.02.26PL
Burnley
3
Brentford
4
L
21.02.26PL
Chelsea
1
Burnley
1
D
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Monday, 18th May 2026, Arsenal host Burnley in Premier League. Our analysis points to Arsenal to win as the standout bet.

Arsenal come into this showing mixed form, with 5W 2D 3L from 10 matches.

Burnley are struggling away — 0W 3D 7L in 10 games.

H2H: Arsenal won 6 of 10 meetings vs Burnley's 1, 3 draws. BTTS in 40%.

With all factors considered, arsenal to win at 1.11 represents the strongest value angle here.


Uncovering genuine value in today’s betting landscape means heavily relying on the metrics, and this impending Premier League fixture offers exactly that for sharp bettors. Stripping away team bias and looking purely at the data is paramount. The hosts’ current trajectory is our first focal point.

Their form guide establishes the baseline odds, but savvy analysts look deeper. By dissecting their recent matches, a stark picture of their offensive capabilities and defensive frailties emerges. Meanwhile, the visiting contingent carries its own statistical weight.

We must contrast their broader form guide with the immediate urgency seen in their most recent games to see if the market has mispriced them. Past encounters cannot be ignored either. A dive into the previous meetings frequently unearths psychological advantages or tactical flaws overlooked by standard models.

Combining these historical patterns with fresh form data guides us to a precise likelihood. Integrating all these factors reveals the smartest play available. Our primary tip which is 1 represents the highest value, especially when factoring in the current @1.11 odds.

Once the fixture kicks off, our pre-match work is done. Ultimately, the final score after the blast of the referee’s whistle will act as the judge of our statistical read. Do well to leverage other daily prediction options we make available on this website and enhance your chances of coming out tops against the bookmakers.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Arsenal vs Burnley?
Our pick is 1 — Arsenal to win at odds of ~1.11. Our prediction engine gives this a 57% confidence rating.
How has Arsenal performed in their recent matches?
Arsenal heads into this fixture with a record of 5W 2D 3L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Burnley?
Burnley has recorded 0W 3D 7L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Arsenal and Burnley?
In their last 10 meetings, Arsenal has won 6 times, Burnley has won 1 times, and there have been 3 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.5 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 40% of their previous H2H encounters.