On Saturday, 7th March 2026, AEK Athens host AEL Larissa in Greece Super League. Our analysis points to AEK Athens to win as the standout bet.
AEK Athens come into this showing mixed form, with 2W 3D 0L from 5 matches.
AEL Larissa are struggling away — 1W 2D 2L in 5 games.
H2H: AEK Athens won 3 of 5 meetings vs AEL Larissa's 0, 2 draws. BTTS in 60%.
With all factors considered, aek athens to win at 1.22 represents the strongest value angle here.
AEK Athens continues to be a juggernaut at the OPAP Arena, where they maintain an 81% win probability for this match. They sit near the top of the table with 49 points, scoring freely in their last few home games, including two 4-0 victories in February. Their defensive solidity is equally impressive, allowing very few high-quality chances to mid-table sides.
AEL Larissa sits in 12th place and primarily focuses on defensive survival. They have a high probability of entering the relegation play-offs and struggle to find the net away from home. Historically, AEK dominates this fixture with superior ball possession and a higher volume of shots on target. Given that AEK is fighting for the title and Larissa is struggling at the bottom, the data indicates a straightforward home win.