AEK Athens vs AEL Larissa

✓ Tip WON AEK Athens 1-0 AEL Larissa
🏆 Greece Super League 📅 Saturday, 7th March 2026
A
AEK Athens
D W D W D
1-0
VS
A
AEL Larissa
L D D L W
Expert Prediction
1
Backing AEK Athens to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.22
decimal
Confidence
★★★★★
54%
Solid Pick
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Main pick
1 — AEK Athens to win
@1.22
Over 1.5 Goals90% AEK Athens Clean Sheet60%
⚔ Head to Head
3
AEK Athens
2
Draws
0
AEL Larissa
Supports AEK Athens won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
AEK Athens AEL Larissa
2.2 Goals / Game 1
0.6 Conceded / Game 1.8
60% Clean Sheets 20%
2-3-0 W-D-L 1-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
40% 20%
📈 Form Ratings
AEK Athens
Overall
5.8 —
Scoring
7.3 —
Defence
8.0 —
AEL Larissa
Overall
3.2 —
Scoring
3.3 —
Defence
4.0 —
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
⚽ SL (Sep 21, 2025): AEL Larissa
1
AEK Athens
1
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2021): AEL Larissa
2
AEK Athens
4
⚽ SL (Nov 22, 2020): AEK Athens
4
AEL Larissa
1
⚽ SL (Jan 19, 2020): AEK Athens
3
AEL Larissa
0
⚽ SL (Oct 5, 2019): AEL Larissa
0
AEK Athens
0
Recent Results
AEK Athens
⚽ SL (Mar 1, 2026): Volos
2
AEK Athens
2
⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): AEK Athens
4
Levadiakos
0
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): PAOK
0
AEK Athens
0
⚽ SL (Feb 8, 2026): Panserraikos
0
AEK Athens
4
⚽ SL (Feb 1, 2026): AEK Athens
1
Olympiacos Piraeus
1
AEL Larissa
⚽ SL (Feb 28, 2026): OFI Crete
3
AEL Larissa
0
⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): AEL Larissa
1
PAOK
1
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): Panathinaikos
1
AEL Larissa
1
⚽ SL (Feb 7, 2026): AEL Larissa
1
Panetolikos
4
⚽ SL (Jan 31, 2026): Volos
0
AEL Larissa
2
📝 Tactical Analysis

AEK Athens continues to be a juggernaut at the OPAP Arena, where they maintain an 81% win probability for this match. They sit near the top of the table with 49 points, scoring freely in their last few home games, including two 4-0 victories in February. Their defensive solidity is equally impressive, allowing very few high-quality chances to mid-table sides.

AEL Larissa sits in 12th place and primarily focuses on defensive survival. They have a high probability of entering the relegation play-offs and struggle to find the net away from home. Historically, AEK dominates this fixture with superior ball possession and a higher volume of shots on target. Given that AEK is fighting for the title and Larissa is struggling at the bottom, the data indicates a straightforward home win.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for AEK Athens vs AEL Larissa?
Our pick is 1 — AEK Athens to win at odds of ~1.22. Our prediction engine gives this a 54% confidence rating.
How has AEK Athens performed in their recent matches?
AEK Athens heads into this fixture with a record of 2W 3D 0L from their last 5 games.
What is the recent form of AEL Larissa?
AEL Larissa has recorded 1W 2D 2L across their last 5 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between AEK Athens and AEL Larissa?
In their last 5 meetings, AEK Athens has won 3 times, AEL Larissa has won 0 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.8 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 60% of their previous H2H encounters.
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