AEK Athens vs AEL Larissa

Tip WON AEK Athens 1-0 AEL Larissa
🏆 Greece Super League 📅 Saturday, 7th March 2026
A
AEK Athens
D W D W D
1-0
VS
A
AEL Larissa
L D D L W
Expert Prediction
1
Backing AEK Athens to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.22
decimal
Confidence
54%
Solid Pick
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Main pick
1 — AEK Athens to win
@1.22
Over 1.5 Goals90% AEK Athens Clean Sheet60%
⚔ Head to Head
3
AEK Athens
2
Draws
0
AEL Larissa
Supports AEK Athens won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
AEK Athens AEL Larissa
2.2 Goals / Game 1
0.6 Conceded / Game 1.8
60% Clean Sheets 20%
2-3-0 W-D-L 1-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
40% 20%
📈 Form Ratings
AEK Athens
Overall
5.8
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.0
AEL Larissa
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
⚽ SL (Sep 21, 2025): AEL Larissa
1
AEK Athens
1
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2021): AEL Larissa
2
AEK Athens
4
⚽ SL (Nov 22, 2020): AEK Athens
4
AEL Larissa
1
⚽ SL (Jan 19, 2020): AEK Athens
3
AEL Larissa
0
⚽ SL (Oct 5, 2019): AEL Larissa
0
AEK Athens
0
Recent Results
AEK Athens
⚽ SL (Mar 1, 2026): Volos
2
AEK Athens
2
⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): AEK Athens
4
Levadiakos
0
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): PAOK
0
AEK Athens
0
⚽ SL (Feb 8, 2026): Panserraikos
0
AEK Athens
4
⚽ SL (Feb 1, 2026): AEK Athens
1
Olympiacos Piraeus
1
AEL Larissa
⚽ SL (Feb 28, 2026): OFI Crete
3
AEL Larissa
0
⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): AEL Larissa
1
PAOK
1
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): Panathinaikos
1
AEL Larissa
1
⚽ SL (Feb 7, 2026): AEL Larissa
1
Panetolikos
4
⚽ SL (Jan 31, 2026): Volos
0
AEL Larissa
2
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Saturday, 7th March 2026, AEK Athens host AEL Larissa in Greece Super League. Our analysis points to AEK Athens to win as the standout bet.

AEK Athens come into this showing mixed form, with 2W 3D 0L from 5 matches.

AEL Larissa are struggling away — 1W 2D 2L in 5 games.

H2H: AEK Athens won 3 of 5 meetings vs AEL Larissa's 0, 2 draws. BTTS in 60%.

With all factors considered, aek athens to win at 1.22 represents the strongest value angle here.


AEK Athens continues to be a juggernaut at the OPAP Arena, where they maintain an 81% win probability for this match. They sit near the top of the table with 49 points, scoring freely in their last few home games, including two 4-0 victories in February. Their defensive solidity is equally impressive, allowing very few high-quality chances to mid-table sides.

AEL Larissa sits in 12th place and primarily focuses on defensive survival. They have a high probability of entering the relegation play-offs and struggle to find the net away from home. Historically, AEK dominates this fixture with superior ball possession and a higher volume of shots on target. Given that AEK is fighting for the title and Larissa is struggling at the bottom, the data indicates a straightforward home win.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for AEK Athens vs AEL Larissa?
Our pick is 1 — AEK Athens to win at odds of ~1.22. Our prediction engine gives this a 54% confidence rating.
How has AEK Athens performed in their recent matches?
AEK Athens heads into this fixture with a record of 2W 3D 0L from their last 5 games.
What is the recent form of AEL Larissa?
AEL Larissa has recorded 1W 2D 2L across their last 5 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between AEK Athens and AEL Larissa?
In their last 5 meetings, AEK Athens has won 3 times, AEL Larissa has won 0 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.8 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 60% of their previous H2H encounters.